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  #46  
Old 08-11-2022, 07:37 AM
JCM615 JCM615 is offline
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Well, it's official: no one's ever bought one!
All those Walkers and TJ Thompsons; Olsons and Somogyis and Ryan 30th Anniversarys; Dudenbostels and Hendersons languishing on racks somewhere...
Not to mention every pre-1945 Martin dreadnaught in clean shape.

Somebody's holdin' back a little....
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  #47  
Old 08-11-2022, 07:58 AM
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For everyone talking about tone and you don't need to spend 20g to get a great sounding guitar, you are all correct. But, there is another angle with guitars in the high end price range, they most usually have a provenance and it is beyond just tone, but they fall into a collector level market. Those guitars usually appreciate vs. say the $1000.00 guitar very likely will not. Just look at the used prices for those high end guitars on a site like Dream guitars. An Olson for example maybe 10g to have built (Jim is only building a few a year now), but are selling for 30g and above. Try to find a McConnell for less than 20 etc.

So in that level of guitar it is more than what it sounds like, but rather who made it, who owned it, what woods does it have, how many more are being built, etc.

IMO
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  #48  
Old 08-11-2022, 08:04 AM
echo44 echo44 is offline
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The thing is if you spend 20k on a car which is nothing these days as the average car transaction in 2022 so far is around 50k. If you could find a new car for 20k, in 10 years it will be worth close to 0$ not to mention the maintenance you would have to put in once the warranty is over insurance etc. These guitars have a life time warranty and after 10 years their value would probably be very similar to what you pay for it and you get the joy of playing the guitar for 10 years. I bought a Martin HD-28V 15 years ago paid around 2200 for it new , they are now selling used for around $3000-3200 on reverb. So I have owned a great guitar that has given me amazing amount of pleasure and can now sell it for more than I paid for it.
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  #49  
Old 08-11-2022, 09:33 AM
s2y s2y is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TomB'sox View Post
For everyone talking about tone and you don't need to spend 20g to get a great sounding guitar, you are all correct. But, there is another angle with guitars in the high end price range, they most usually have a provenance and it is beyond just tone, but they fall into a collector level market. Those guitars usually appreciate vs. say the $1000.00 guitar very likely will not. Just look at the used prices for those high end guitars on a site like Dream guitars. An Olson for example maybe 10g to have built (Jim is only building a few a year now), but are selling for 30g and above. Try to find a McConnell for less than 20 etc.

So in that level of guitar it is more than what it sounds like, but rather who made it, who owned it, what woods does it have, how many more are being built, etc.

IMO
I could be wrong and often am. I question the long term investment potential in the current market. Granted, I'm a hospital peasant and learned more about atomic weight than solid financial advice.

The price for Rolex watches has skyrocketed in recent years. The basic strategy is to buy low and sell high. Current prices make this less of a guarantee than previous years.

Pertinent to guitars, inflation, potential economic downturn (not trying to be political), and a looming "boomer selloff" could change our market. I think perhaps my Aboudib and Wilborn (on order) will probably gain value as popularity/demand rightfully catches on.

Last edited by s2y; 08-11-2022 at 09:40 AM.
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  #50  
Old 08-11-2022, 09:52 AM
DanR DanR is offline
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I've not paid anywhere close to $20K on a guitar. The most I've paid is about $2.8K but I had a trade in for half of that. I was almost going to pull the trigger on a Custom Shop Martin but at my age (69) I couldn't wait possibly a year and a half.
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  #51  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:04 AM
Steve-arino Steve-arino is offline
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The standard formula for how much you can spend on an (acoustic) guitar is this:

1. Your age x $100, the clock starts at 21. So, if you're 66 this would be $4500.
2. Each surgery is worth $1000. So for example I've had 5 surgeries so in my case that's an additional $5,000.
3. Each kid out of school and on their own and off your payroll is worth $2500. I have 2, one of them counts for this additional amount. 1 x $2500.

Based upon this formula, I cannot afford a $20k guitar now. When I am 146 years old I should be able to make that happen.
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  #52  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:08 AM
Daniel Grenier Daniel Grenier is offline
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Not $20k, no. But I did drop $7k for my newest one. It would have to be one heck of a stunner (musically and aesthetically) for me to drop $20k. It’s unlikely to happen but I have said for years that I’d never pay more than $3k for a guitar and that didn’t happen so who knows.
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  #53  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:15 AM
JCM615 JCM615 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve-arino View Post
The standard formula for how much you can spend on an (acoustic) guitar is this:

1. Your age x $100, the clock starts at 21. So, if you're 66 this would be $4500.
2. Each surgery is worth $1000. So for example I've had 5 surgeries so in my case that's an additional $5,000.
3. Each kid out of school and on their own and off your payroll is worth $2500. I have 2, one of them counts for this additional amount. 1 x $2500.

Based upon this formula, I cannot afford a $20k guitar now. When I am 146 years old I should be able to make that happen.
Could I get an adjustment for inflation and irrationality??
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  #54  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:36 AM
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This is a fun fantasy thread. Imagine its ancestor, posted in 2002:

“Has anyone paid $10,000 for a guitar?”

I bought a fully restored Craftsman cottage in San Francisco in 1991 for $325,000. I remember saying that nobody would ever pay that much for a house again. Hmmm.

Today the Great Barrier Reef of guitar price is $3,000 to $3,500, based on Martin’s and Gibson’s standard models. But in 2002, nobody would imagine anyone paying that much for a standard production guitar. With that paradigm, I would not go above that price point today.

I played a vintage, beat-up but unbelievably exquisite-sounding J-45 last month priced at $7,000. So I can perceive the difference the 2X price differential brings. It’s real. But I won’t buy that for myself unless I think I’ve wrung out every drop of joy possible from my three beautiful mid-priced instruments.
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  #55  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:45 AM
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I played a 1930s Nick Lucas, was priced at 30k.
My 3500 Haxton “Special” plays and sounds better.
so at the moment, I can’t really imagine getting even close to 20k. Probably not going above what I have.
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  #56  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:55 AM
Silly Moustache Silly Moustache is offline
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No Way, but the most I've paid for a guitar is also my oldest - a 1934 Gibson L-4 (16" 1935 model with F-holes).
It was IRO £2750 including shipping from Seattle and Taxes and excise duty.

I had to pay more in taxes as the deal;er forgot to follow my instructions as received by HMC&E.
They also didn't tell me that they'd filed he frets down flat to the board so another couple of hundred for a refret!

Would never deal with that company again.

Second most was a very slightly used Santa Cruz RS which was expensive to ship due to the weight of te Ameritage case. Private sale from a nice chap in Noo Inglund.

All costs include Excise duty Variable but around 3-6% then plus VAT of 20% on all charges.

Bought all my Collings used mostly IIRC via Ebay. No taxes.
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  #57  
Old 08-11-2022, 11:26 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by s2y View Post
I could be wrong and often am. I question the long term investment potential in the current market. Granted, I'm a hospital peasant and learned more about atomic weight than solid financial advice.

The price for Rolex watches has skyrocketed in recent years. The basic strategy is to buy low and sell high. Current prices make this less of a guarantee than previous years.

Pertinent to guitars, inflation, potential economic downturn (not trying to be political), and a looming "boomer selloff" could change our market. I think perhaps my Aboudib and Wilborn (on order) will probably gain value as popularity/demand rightfully catches on.

This is the key, it is a long term investment, not a short term one which would involve more of the current market. I think your Wilborn is worth more than you paid for it already and very likely will be for awhile. When you are here for B.I.G., remind me and I will show you a guitar I am talking about. Tom
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  #58  
Old 08-11-2022, 11:42 AM
echo44 echo44 is offline
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prices always go up over time as the money supply is always increasing, yes there will be cycles where things devalue temporary yet in the long run history supports increasing prices.

My first guitar was an ovation viper when I was in high school bought from the guitar store for $150 they are now selling used on reverb up to a $1000.

about 10 years ago I bought fender master built Strat for $4200, I felt like a fool given it was just a Strat, now that same builders guitars are selling for $9000 used on reverb.

In college I bought a USA Strat plus foolishly traded in after several years paid new $400 now they are selling used for $1600.

My friend who owns a guitar store basically preaches if you buy a nice guitar well made from a major brand keep it for 12 years in a normal inflation environment and take care of it, you are likely be able to sell it used for what you paid for it new. Of course there are variables that can not be accounted for like guitar playing looses its popularity or the reverse could happen. `

I wouldn't recommend a guitar as an investment yet of all the things we buy for ourselves it does better than most in the world of resale.

This owner did well in 1962 this guitar sold for $320 now look at it for what it is being sold for. https://reverb.com/item/51272009-fen...-red-one-owner
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  #59  
Old 08-11-2022, 11:49 AM
rollypolly rollypolly is offline
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Most I've paid: around $1800. Most I'd be willing to pay for the right vintage Martin or boutique: $3200 ish. Any more than that is silly, for me at least.
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  #60  
Old 08-11-2022, 11:58 AM
Dru Edwards Dru Edwards is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by echo44 View Post
I am wondering then who buys these if no one admits to it?
There are people who spend $20k on guitars who don't participate on forums or keep their $20k guitar purchases to themselves.

If I had won the Mega Millions lottery last week I would buy a few just to A/B them with standard production guitars.

I just checked Ervin Somogyi's website. His guitars start at $40k and it also states that it'll take 2 years before you get your guitar.
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